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Lance McAlister

Need Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks handicapping info?

 
Posted May 1st, 2014 @ 9:11am
Horse Racing
 
 
LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 30: California Chrome ridden by William Delgado walks off the track following a morning exercise session in preparation for the 140th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 30, 2014 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
 
Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks after the draw
From Dan Cronin, FatBaldGuyRacing 
 
1. #5 California Chrome      106           108          0              5-2   great post for him
2..#4  Danza                      104           102           2             10-1  exceptional workout, OK post
3. #20 Wicked Strong          103           104          -1             8-1   solid gallops, awful Post
4. #12   Dance with Fate       99+5       97+5         0            12-1  looks great over surface,moving up fast
I think the winner is above
 
Next Flight of Horses
5..  #16 Intense Holiday         97            100          0             15-1   very good workout, board finish
6.  #11 Hoppertunity (update: scratched)           
7.  #8 General A Rod          100             97           0             15-1  ave workout to  BAD works dropping
Top 6 have separated themselves from everyone these top 6 have worked very well and have shown the speed and stamina to win this race.
 
Longshots
8.  #6 Samraat                    99             98           0              20-1   guts not fast enough
9.  #18 Candy Boy                97             96            3             20-1   2 starts BAD post
10.#19 Ride on Curlin          102           98             3              25-1  will get bet to 12-1 cause of Borel
11. #9 Vinceremos    small chance
12 #14  Medal Count  small chance
 
I know Medal Count is the Wise Guy horse but I just dont see it 24 days 3 races I dont like it.
1,2,3 have NO CHANCE to hit the board 7,13,15,17 have VERY little chance to hit top 4.
Small Budget Super 4,5,12 w 4,5,11,12 w 4,5,11,12,16,20 w 4,5,6,9,11,12,14,16,20  $216
 
My Big Budget Super  4,5,11,12,16,20 w 4,5,11,12,16,20 w 4,5,11,12,16,20 w 4,5,6,8,9,10,11,12,14,16,18,19,20    so 6*5*4 *10  $1200 then move the big numbers to 3rd $2400 play.  If you have bigger budget toss 17 in for 4th
 
Kentucky Oaks
1. #13Untapable                  107          106          -2             4-5  she may be beatable from #13
2. #4  Rosalind                    100            96           2             8-1  this one will fire
3. #9Unbridled Forever         100             96          2             15-1 longshot w HUGE chance
The Oaks I only see 3 of them, I could be wrong but lots of speed in the race and JJ will send Sophia. 
4. #2  Ria Antonia  cant figure this one keep waiting for big performance but havent got it
5. #11 My Miss Sophia will be winging early and try to go all the way w JJ
 
 
Daniel Cronin
FatBaldGuyracing.com
 
 

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